Plant Protection Report October 30, 2014 12:00 amAccording to a report published by The Andersons Centre, 40 active substances are highly likely to either be removed from the market or restricted within the next five to seven years. The report entitled Crop Production Technology: The Effect of the Loss of Plant Protection Products on UK Agriculture and Horticulture and the Wider Economy which was commissioned by the NFU, the Agricultural Industries Confederation (AIC) and the Crop Protection Association (CPA) found the loss of these Plant Protection Products (PPPs) could have a severe impact on UK agriculture. Pests and diseases would be far harder to control and resistance build up more likely. The key points from the report are;Yield decrease ranges from 4 to 50% on the crops studied (see table below)Overall food output from UK farming and horticulture would decline, making the UK more reliant on importsSevere decline in domestic production of some ‘iconic’ British foods such as frozen peas, apples and fresh carrotsDecline in quality, supermarkets may prefer to import better quality produce often produced using PPPs banned in the UK and EUReduced domestic cereal output could lead to an increase in livestock feed pricesStructural change in crop production, greater reliance on mechanical and hand weedingUK agriculture’s Gross Value Added (GVA) could fall by around £1.6 billion per annum, a drop of 20% compared to the five year averageTotal Income for Farming (TIFF) drops by £1.73 billionThe study also recognises that the impact of losing PPPs goes wider than just agriculture. Farming provides the raw materials for the wider agri-food industry. The food processing and manufacturing sector could potentially lose around £2.5 billion in GVA, with associated job losses of 35,000 to 40,000. The agricultural supply industry would also be hit hard. CropYield ReductionWinter Wheat12%Winter Barley10%Winter Oats4%Winter OSR18%Peas & Beans15%Sugar Beet12%Potatoes12%Carrots25%Onions50%Apples6% The report concludes that the present EU policy environment around PPPs is uncertain and generally unfavourable for new development and thus investment in the sector is under threat. Policies need to be science-led, and the assessment of risks should be undertaken on a proportionate basis. The full report can be found at http://www.nfuonline.com/andersons-final-report/